Better understanding of ‘don’t confuse absence of evidence with evidence of absence’

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Absence of Evidence and Evidence of Absence

―Absence of evidence isn’t evidence of absence‖ is a slogan that is popular among scientists and nonscientists alike. This paper assesses its truth by using a probabilistic tool, the Law of Likelihood. Qualitative questions (―Is E evidence about H?‖) and quantitative questions (―How much evidence does E provide about H?‖) are both considered. The paper discusses the example of fossil intermedia...

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Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

Randomized controlled clinical trials are conducted to determine whether differences of clinical importance exist between selected treatment regimens. When statistical analysis of the study data finds a P value greater than 5%, it is convention to deem the assessed difference nonsignificant. Just because convention dictates that such study findings be termed nonsignificant, or negative, howev...

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Atheists often admit that there is no positive evidence for atheism. Many argue that there is nonetheless a prima facie argument, which I will refer to as the ‘teapot argument’. They liken agnosticism to remaining neutral on the existence of a teapot in outer space. The present paper argues that this analogy fails, for the person who denies such a teapot can agree with the person who affirms it...

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Absence of Evidence ≠ Evidence of Absence: Statistical Analysis of Inclusions in Multiferroic Thin Films

Assertions that a new material may offer particularly advantageous properties should always be subjected to careful critical evaluation, especially when those properties can be affected by the presence of inclusions at trace level. This is particularly important for claims relating to new multiferroic compounds, which can easily be confounded by unobserved second phase magnetic inclusions. We d...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Evidence-Based Healthcare

سال: 2019

ISSN: 2675-021X

DOI: 10.17267/2675-021xevidence.v1i2.2348